Donald Trump’s response to the American tragedy that took place in Orlando was, one, to politicize it and make it about himself instead of the victims and their families, and, two, to accuse President Obama of being sympathetic to terrorists.
In doing so he confirmed what I can say with confidence: Donald Trump will not be president of the United States.
There is a lot of anxiety among people who are worried he will be. If you’re one of them you can stop. It’s not going to happen.
That is not a political statement. It is a fact statement, at least a fact statement based on the best available evidence at this point.
The facts are: Trump will lose heavily among women, blacks, and Latinos. He has offended all three groups numerous times and cannot recover. Anything he tries to do will be seen for what it is, pandering for votes.
He will also lose heavily among Muslim Americans for obvious reasons.
He will lose the LGBT vote and all of us who support their work to gain respect and equal rights.
And, despite what you’ve heard, he will lose millions of “white guy” votes.
A few will vote for him because they are racists, misogynistic, egotistical, and blame their troubles on everybody else. In short, they will vote for him because they are just like him.
But most of us are not and we will not vote for him.
That goes against current political analysis like the one by Nate Cohn in the New York Times a couple of weeks ago.
He said there was a path for Trump among white, older working-class voters who voted in larger percentages in 2012 than previous thought. Cohn believes they are potential Trump voters.
His column is tortured logic that comes down to the possibility that Trump can win if he gets every working-class voter in America to support him.
That is not only never going to happen, it is an insult to the intelligence of white working-class people, especially white guys.
White guys can think just like everyone else. We can spot a phony at thirty paces just like everyone else. We are turned off by egocentric people just like everyone else. We know the difference between substance and fluff just like everyone else. We know when ideas make sense and when they are dangerous just like everyone else.
And get this. We care about the future of our country just like everyone else, and we are not going to support turning it over to someone as unqualified as Donald Trump is.
The reason Trump has around 30% of the American people who say they are going to vote for him is because just about any candidate of either major party could get 30% support no matter how outrageous or incompetent they may be.
For all these reasons Donald Trump is not going to be president of the United States.
Unless…unless the overwhelming majority of voters who don’t want him to be don’t vote. The only path for a Trump victory is apathy.
That is why I am going to do everything I can to see that Hillary Clinton is the next president.
I say that in spite of the fact that I am a strong Bernie supporter who hates the super-delegate rule.
In spite of the fact that I wish Hillary Clinton was not even running.
In spite of the fact that I believe Debbie Wasserman-Schultz is unqualified to continue as DNC chair.
In spite of the fact that I believe President Obama did all Democrats a disservice by publicly supporting Wasserman-Schultz, no doubt because he’s the one who appointed her to the position in the first place.
The reason is simple…we are a better nation than Donald Trump is a person, and we deserve better than having him in the White House.
And I believe enough in the character of us as a people to also believe he will never set foot in it unless President Hillary Clinton invites him to visit.
