Donald Trump’s response to the American tragedy that took place in Orlando was, one, to politicize it and make it about himself instead of the victims and their families, and, two, to accuse President Obama of being sympathetic to terrorists.
In doing so he confirmed what I can say with confidence: Donald Trump will not be president of the United States.
There is a lot of anxiety among people who are worried he will be. If you’re one of them you can stop. It’s not going to happen.
That is not a political statement. It is a fact statement, at least a fact statement based on the best available evidence at this point.
The facts are: Trump will lose heavily among women, blacks, and Latinos. He has offended all three groups numerous times and cannot recover. Anything he tries to do will be seen for what it is, pandering for votes.
He will also lose heavily among Muslim Americans for obvious reasons.
He will lose the LGBT vote and all of us who support their work to gain respect and equal rights.
And, despite what you’ve heard, he will lose millions of “white guy” votes.
A few will vote for him because they are racists, misogynistic, egotistical, and blame their troubles on everybody else. In short, they will vote for him because they are just like him.
But most of us are not and we will not vote for him.
That goes against current political analysis like the one by Nate Cohn in the New York Times a couple of weeks ago.
He said there was a path for Trump among white, older working-class voters who voted in larger percentages in 2012 than previous thought. Cohn believes they are potential Trump voters.
His column is tortured logic that comes down to the possibility that Trump can win if he gets every working-class voter in America to support him.
That is not only never going to happen, it is an insult to the intelligence of white working-class people, especially white guys.
White guys can think just like everyone else. We can spot a phony at thirty paces just like everyone else. We are turned off by egocentric people just like everyone else. We know the difference between substance and fluff just like everyone else. We know when ideas make sense and when they are dangerous just like everyone else.
And get this. We care about the future of our country just like everyone else, and we are not going to support turning it over to someone as unqualified as Donald Trump is.
The reason Trump has around 30% of the American people who say they are going to vote for him is because just about any candidate of either major party could get 30% support no matter how outrageous or incompetent they may be.
For all these reasons Donald Trump is not going to be president of the United States.
Unless…unless the overwhelming majority of voters who don’t want him to be don’t vote. The only path for a Trump victory is apathy.
That is why I am going to do everything I can to see that Hillary Clinton is the next president.
I say that in spite of the fact that I am a strong Bernie supporter who hates the super-delegate rule.
In spite of the fact that I wish Hillary Clinton was not even running.
In spite of the fact that I believe Debbie Wasserman-Schultz is unqualified to continue as DNC chair.
In spite of the fact that I believe President Obama did all Democrats a disservice by publicly supporting Wasserman-Schultz, no doubt because he’s the one who appointed her to the position in the first place.
The reason is simple…we are a better nation than Donald Trump is a person, and we deserve better than having him in the White House.
And I believe enough in the character of us as a people to also believe he will never set foot in it unless President Hillary Clinton invites him to visit.
linnposts.com 
Very Comforting!!!
We campaigned hard for Bernie, met him ( and devoted Jane) and got a huge hug from Cornell West!!! last week in DC. Colby said we literally ” felt the Bern”.
My hope is Hillary will have the courage to be more progressive candidate…Thank you Bernie! We need the youth to vote and keep building the revolution.
His campaign will hopefully make her a better president, Dixcy. If not, it will be a long four years.
If ever you’ve been right, I pray this is one time you are! I to have the same thinking! Just hope there won’t be so many write-ins that thinks get skewed! Can’t wait til we don’t have to listen to Donald’s spewing, sick rhetoric! Thanks Jan for a great post!!
Well said Jan. I fully agree, but remain uncomfortable. People better get off their butts and vote.
If they don’t we have no one to blame but ourselves. Thanks, Wilbur.
It sure is more comforting to be a progressive this election cycle; one very good candidate and one OK candidate. The Republicans, on the other hand, have had a terrible year. Their slate of candidates was pathetic, with the moderates getting the least support and the loonies floating to the top. My rational conservative friends (an oxymoron?) are flummoxed and wringing their hands. Let’s hope and pray you’re correct, Jan. I’m kinda worried…
Rollie, just “enjoy” the “flummox” of your conservative friends.
Jan, I’m counting on this so I can sleep at night!
Sent from my iPad
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So am I, Becky!
Great blog, Jan. Hope you are right.
Great to hear from you! I’m in LA now, for the last six years.
I was hoping for Bernie. Now I’m thinking about running an Internet write-in campaign for president as None of the Above. No promises. No scandals. No hidden agendas.
How’s New York?
Dr. Linn; As usual, I agree with everything you said in the “No Trump Presidency” post, but with the following caveat:
It is a long time until November; in politics, two weeks is defined as a long time, and we have almost five months to go. In this unstable environment, there is plenty of time for the extremely unlikely to happen; just look at the Trump candidacy itself. Nobody foresaw something like that happening to the button-downed GOP; a practical impossibility, right up to the end, when the impossible happened. To add to the political instability, I doubt that there has ever been a presidential election with both major party candidates having such high negatives; either Trump or Hillary could flame out almost overnight, leaving the field to the survivor. And Bernie, of course, is another question mark. If he doesn’t fall into line and issue a full-throated Hillary endorsement soon, she’s seriously damaged. As Yogi said, “It ain’t over till its over.”
Dick Aulich
Good thoughts, Dick. Whatever happens I don’t see a Trump presidency. People are too smart to take that kind of chance.
Not sure why you are worried about Bernie. He has pledged support for Hillary and will work to defeat Trump. Candidates used to stay in the race right up to the convention. I think the notion that Bernie needs to get in line is coming from the Clinton campaign and media bought and sold by money, including MSNBC. I heard Chris Matthews briefly (I can’t take him for very long) talk about Bernie supporters as if they are all under 45. I know a lot of 70 year olds who are for him. They will support Hillary, but they wish she were not the candidate. So what Hillary supporters, including the DNC, and the news media are saying is baloney to me. Bernie may have saved the party, Had it only been Hillary I’m not sure where many Democrats would be right now.
Most people who vote in this election will be voting AGAINST the opposite candidate–not FOR the one they mark on their ballot. Hillary has a ton of extremely bad “issues” on her side of the ballot; it’s a matter of voting for the least disliked person.
“Bad issues” and being totally unqualified for the office are two very different things. Trump would be a disgrace to our nation, and that is why I believe more than enough sensible people will say so when they vote.
Oh, p-lease!! Your commentary is a wish, a hope; it is NOT an accomplished fact. Your definitive statements do not even leave a crack in the door that you “might” be a little wrong. Better to state your wish/hope and suggest that it could be a close race than to announce that you have the Final Answer. Bengazhi (sp), e-mails not done on secure network, etc. indicates that there are Serious Questions about Clinton “qualifications.” Not to mention a ton of her “decisions” that fell flat when Bill was President that young people today haven’t even heard about. She’s not clean by any means. Right now, the election is a toss up. Check the polls — too close to call!
You are the one making a pronouncement. No candidate today can win a national election if they lose the vote among women, African Americans, and Latinos. Trump will lose bigger among these groups than anyone ever has. You check the polls. So how is it a close race when he has no chance to get anything much from these three very large voting groups? It’s not, and the Electoral College vote will prove it.
Benghazi is a done deal. Get over it. Her emails show nothing either. I said in my piece that I supported Bernie, but I will take Hillary any day to Trump, and I’m betting the overwhelming majority of Americans will say the same thing in November.
You could be right; you could be wrong. I didn’t get my candidate on the ballot either. Benghazi a “done deal — get over it??” UNBELIEVABLE statement !! How about a comparison “Orlando is 10 days old; it’s a done-deal; get over it.” The e-mail thing is NOT over yet — Report to Justice Dept. still coming in, their reaction.
This will be an interesting rest of the year!
Your comparison is stupid. That you would use that tragedy as a comparison to Hillary Clinton’s involvement in Benghazi tells me all I need to know about the kind of person you are. You have no limit to how low you will go to make a political point. You are the one who is unbelievable. Why don’t you start writing your own blog and get off mine?
Gordon K,
Give it up. They DO NOT want “Honest Talk” unless it is “Their Talk”. If you make a rational statement they stoop to the lowest possible argument and just call you a racist, stupid or tell you to leave. I’ve tried, it’s a waste of time. What difference does it make anyway cause, Bush did it!
Both of you are cut from the same piece of cloth, I see. What you wrote has absolutely nothing to do with my reply to Gordon K. You simply needed to make your usual claim of being persecuted as if stupid opinions should not be challenged. If you or Gordon or anyone else wants to make a claim, back it up with evidence or don’t make it.
“Honest talk” is not a license to say outrageous things without being challenged. Conservatives like you are Fix News/Rush Limbaugh types who love to make claims that have no basis in fact, then complain that progressives are closed minded for calling you on it.
If you want to take issue with what I write, show me the evidence that I am wrong and I will be glad to respond. Otherwise, don’t bother to write anymore.
Re; “No Trump Presidency”, I could have missed Bernie’s endorsement, and if I did, possible others did too, which ain’t good. I think if Hillary selects Elizabeth Graham for VP, the vast majority of Bernie’s people will vote for her (Hillary). Graham is not only well positioned on the Left, she obviously enjoys attacking Trump, which leaves the high ground to Hillary. Dick Aulich
Dick, I think you mean Elizabeth Warren, not “Graham.” I think Warren is the best Democrat in the Senate, cut from the tradition of the New Deal. But I think it would be a mistake for Hillary to choose her as her VP. Bernie supporters will vote for Hillary because of Trump and the Supreme Court appointment. I don’t see how Warren would add anything to the ticket. I think Hillary needs a competent, liberal white guy to help draw in those voters.
Just saying…