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Because of court delays, U. S. District Court Judge Tanya Chutkan has been forced to postpone Donald Trump’s March 4 trial date in Washington, a disappointing development for everyone who wants him to be held accountable for his crimes against our country. 

That said, perhaps we don’t need to feel all that disappointed.

Not that trying Trump for his crimes against our country doesn’t matter. It does. It matters a lot, in fact, to hold him accountable for what he did in order to prove to him and his followers that no one is above the law and we are NOT a nation of kings.

As important as his court trials are, though, I suggest they are not the main event. The date for the most important trial Donald Trump faces is actually November 5.

That’s when the nation will serve as the jury to decide his ultimate fate. It’s when he faces a jury of his peers who will decide far more than a verdict on the crimes he has committed against our country,

On that date he will hear the verdict on the kind of man we believe he is, whether or not we believe he is morally unfit to be president again, and I have no doubt that verdict will be guilty.

Some people, of course, believe the opposite is going to happen, that November 5 will be when Trump becomes president again which in turn will allow him to make all his criminal charges go away, freeing him to do whatever he wants to do, including destroying our democracy.

It could happen. I’ve lived long enough to know that just about anything can happen in politics. And I’ve lived long enough to know that what I believe will happen may not, and what I believe will not happen may.

But I think the facts make it abundantly clear that believing Trump will win is a bigger stretch than believing he won’t. Here is why I say that.

If you believe Trump will win this year, you have to believe the majority of Americans are willing to abandon our democracy for a Trumpian autocracy in which he will be accountable to no one.

You have to believe that most of us have decided that the Supreme Court striking down Roe v. Wade wasn’t such a big deal after all, nor is Trump’s claim that he was the one who made it happen.  

You have to believe that most of us are willing to give Trump the power to appoint more judges like Matthew Kacsmaryk in Amarillo who suspended the FDA’s approval of Mifepristone based solely on his opposition to abortion and Supreme Court justices like the radical five already there.  

You have to believe that most voters don’t care about our nation’s standing in the world, don’t care that Trump made the presidency a joke to other countries, don’t care that he came close to doing irreparable damage to the NATO alliance that is the cornerstone of resistance against Russian aggression in Europe.

If you believe Trump will win in November, you have to believe that the majority of Americans are okay with having a president who has been convicted of rape and in 2016 paid hush money so voters wouldn’t know before the election that he had sex with a porn star while his wife was having a baby.

You have to believe most of us will ignore public statements by several of Trump’s own former cabinet and staff members that he is both incompetent and unfit to be President again.

You have to believe most of us will choose Trump in spite of the fact that during Joe Biden’s presidency we have the best economy in 60 years with low unemployment and low inflation while under Trump we experienced a failed economy that lost more jobs than it created, and added a trillion dollars to our national debt because of an irresponsible tax cut for the wealthy.   

You have to focus on Biden’s age while ignoring the fact that Trump is virtually the same age, or on Biden’s mental capacity declining without any actual evidence of it while lately whenever Trump speaks he sounds like a man who is confused and losing touch with reality. 

If you believe Trump will win in November, you have to believe that in spite of the fact that the majority of us rejected him in 2016 and 2020, for some inexplicable reason we have changed our minds and decided he’s our guy this year.

Some people do in fact believe all these things will happen and that Trump will be elected again. They even cite polls that show Biden is losing to Trump, you know the same polls that said Trump was ahead of Nikki Haley in New Hampshire by 20 points, but he actually won by less than 10.

But I would argue that there is far more reason to believe Joe Biden will be re-elected than to believe our nation wants another four years of Donald Trump.

That’s why I’m betting on the majority of Americans rendering a guilty verdict to Donald Trump  on November 5

If he has been found guilty in any of his court trials before then, and when he is found guilty afterwards, that will all be icing on the cake.

But make no mistake, the election itself is the cake, and everything tells me it’s going to be the best we’ve ever tasted.